2014 Nostradamus Report

2014 Nostradamus Report

The 2014 Nostradamus Report was produced by the Göteborg Film Festival/ Nordic Film Market with the support of Lindholmen Science Park and Nordisk Film och TV Fond and released at the Nostradamus seminar on January 31st, 2014.

Thought leaders interviewed for the first report included: Malte Andreasson, United Screens; Cecilia Beck-Friis, TV4; Göran Danasten, HBO Nordic; Sami Kallinen, YLE; Hanne Palmqvist, SVT; and Martina Ternström, Independent Acquisitions & Distribution consultant.

At the accompanying seminar, the issues raised in it were discussed further by lecturers and panelists including consultants Bengt Toll and Jonathan Olsberg, audience researcher Jacob Bjur, Rikke Ennis of TrustNordisk, Michael Gubbins of Sampomedia, Jonathan Marlow of Fandor; Jérôme Paillard of the Cannes Film Market and Åsa Sjöberg of TV4; Bengt Toll, consultant. Find videos from the seminars here.


For ease of reference, here are the sources referenced in the 2014 Nostradamus report with links where available.

1 Royal Economic Society: ’Changing Channels: New Evidence of People’s Inertia When Watching TV,’ Media Briefings (retrieved on January 7, 2014, referencing Constança Esteves-Sorenson and Fabrizio Perretti: ’Micro-costs: Inertia In Television Viewing’, September 2012, the Economic Journal).

2 Stowe Boyd, Word Talk Research and the Futures Agency: Social TV and the Second Screen, 2012 (not currently available online)

3 Kyle Anderson: ’Gamers Get a Start Turn on Twitch’, Entertainment Weekly, November 29, 2013, and Connor Sheridan: ’Interview: The Twitch Phenomenon’, CVG, January 17, 2014.

4 Bengt Toll: Filmens framtida förutsättningar. Ett diskussionsunderlag. Utredning för Film- och TV-producenterna. (Swedish Film & TV Producers’ Association, Oct 2013).

5 Michael Gubbins and Peter Buckingham, Sampomedia: BFI Insight Report. What Maisie Knew, 2013

6 Michael Gubbins and Peter Buckingham, Sampomedia: BFI Insight Report. A Late Quartet, 2013

7 ThinkTank on European Film Policy: Consumer Behavior in Scandinavia. A Survey. (2010) (powerpoint download).

8 Michael Gubbins and Peter Buckingham, Sampomedia: BFI Insight report: A Field In England, 2013

9 Jonathan Gardner: ’Negotiating the Holdback: What’s At Stake’ (blog post from December 9, 2011, retrieved on January 7, 2014)

10 Daniel Miller: ’Sundance 2012: The Day-And-Date Success Story of ”Margin Call”’, Hollywood Reporter, Jan 27, 2012 (retrieved on Jan 7, 2014)

11 Emma Dibdin: ’Breaking Bad’ creator: ’Streaming video-on-demand saved the show’ Digitalspy, Aug 31, 2013 (retrieved on Jan 7th, 2014)

12 Leo Kelion: ’Netflix studies piracy sites to decide what to buy’, BBC News Technology, September 16, 2013, (retrieved on Jan 7th, 2014 ), quoting ’Time Warner Management Discusses Q2 Results – Earnings Call Transcript ’, Aug 7, 2013 SeekingAlpha. com (retrieved on Jan 7, 2014)

13 ’…Och dök upp på Youtube’, Television, 02 2013. (not available online)